Tanzania beats Nigeria in the latest global fertility rates ranking

While most countries are experiencing declining birth rates, much of Sub-Saharan Africa remains on a very different trajectory. The region is shooting up

Tanzania beats Nigeria in the latest global fertility rates ranking

Tanzania is beating Nigeria when in the latest fertility rates global positioning.

With the current estimated population of 70.5 million, Tanzania’s average fertility rate is being pegged at 4.47, thus ranking at Number 13 in the world, according to the latest demographic map from ‘Visual Statistic.’

On the other hand, Nigeria, which is the most populous country in Africa with 237.5 million residents, ranks at number 16 globally with a fertility rate of 4.30.

Chad tops the world list with an average fertility rate of 5.94, despite its measly population of 21 million residents.

Somalia may be a troubled state but the country’s mean fertility rate is still very high at 5.91 taking the second position globally, though its current population is 19.6 million.

The Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) ranks third in the world, but tops the Eastern African region with a fertility rate of 5.90 against its current population of 112.8 million residents.

Total Fertility Rate (TFR) is the average number of children that would be born to a woman during childbearing period.

At number is the Central African Republic (CAR)’s Fertility Rate is 5.81 with a population of 5.5 million.

Niger ranks fifth with a fertility rate of 5.79 against the population of 27.9 million.

Others are Mali (5.42), Angola (4.95), Burundi (4.68), Afghanistan (4.66), Mozambique (4.62)), Mauritania (4.56), Mayotte (4.50) and Tanzania (4.47).

Kenya may be the economic powerhouse of East Africa, but the country’s fertility rate leaves a lot to be desired at only 3.12 ranking at number 54 in the world.

Africa Drives Future Growth

While most countries are experiencing declining birth rates, much of Sub-Saharan Africa remains on a very different trajectory.

Fertility rates above 4.0 are still common in African countries, supporting rapid population growth across the region.

Global Divide

The report highlights a widening global divide: while birth rates have fallen across much of Asia, Europe, and the Americas, many countries in Sub-Saharan Africa continue to see far higher fertility.

As a result, future population growth is becoming increasingly concentrated in a smaller number of regions, with major implications for economies and labor markets.

Today, roughly 71 percent of the global population lives in countries with fertility rates below replacement level.

This, according to the report, marks a major demographic shift, as many of the world’s largest economies transition from population growth to long-term decline.

Major population centers like China (1.02), the United States (1.62), and Brazil (1.60) are all believed to fall into this category.

Most of the world is no longer having enough children to sustain its population.

The recent demographic map from ‘Visual Statistic’ shows fertility rates for every country using data from the United Nations World Population Prospects 2024 Revision.

China’s Historic Decline

With a fertility rate of just 1.02, China is now among the lowest in the world.

This sharp decline is largely a legacy of the country’s one-child policy, which was in place from 1980 to 2015.

Despite policy reversals and financial incentives, fertility has remained depressed. Notably, no country that has fallen to such low levels has successfully returned to replacement rates.