NDP 42%, Conservative 40%, Green 11%, OneBC 5%: Pallas B.C. poll

Indo-Canadian Voice NDP 42%, Conservative 40%, Green 11%, OneBC 5%: Pallas B.C. poll posted by: Rattan MallTHE gap between BC’s two main parties has closed two points, according to a new Pallas Data poll. Among decided and leaning voters, the NDP sits at 42% (unchanged since Pallas’s last poll in February), while the BC Conservatives under interim leader Trevor Halford have climbed to 40% (+3%). The Greens, led by Emily Lowan, […] The post NDP 42%, Conservative 40%, Green 11%, OneBC 5%: Pallas B.C. poll first appeared on Indo-Canadian Voice.Indo-Canadian Voice

NDP 42%, Conservative 40%, Green 11%, OneBC 5%: Pallas B.C. poll
Indo-Canadian Voice NDP 42%, Conservative 40%, Green 11%, OneBC 5%: Pallas B.C. poll posted by: Rattan Mall

THE gap between BC’s two main parties has closed two points, according to a new Pallas Data poll.

Among decided and leaning voters, the NDP sits at 42% (unchanged since Pallas’s last poll in February), while the BC Conservatives under interim leader Trevor Halford have climbed to 40% (+3%).

The Greens, led by Emily Lowan, are at 11%, and Dallas Brodie’s OneBC is at 5%.

(Among all voters: NDP – 35%, BC Conservatives – 34%, BC Greens – 8%, OneBC – 4%, Another Party – 1%, Undecided- 17%).

“A two-point lead is within the margin of error and is a statistical tie,” said Dr. Joseph Angolano, founder and CEO of Pallas Data.

The Conservative gains since the last poll suggest the party is consolidating its vote as its leadership race draws attention, and that the budget has been received negatively among British Columbians.

The regional picture remains essentially unchanged since the last poll. The NDP leads in Metro Vancouver, 45% to 38%, and by a wide margin on Vancouver Island, 47% to 30%. The Conservatives dominate the Rest of BC, 48% to 35%.

The gender gap is where the NDP’s cushion comes from. Women break for Premier David Eby’s party by nine points, 46% to 37%. Men go the other way, favouring the Conservatives 44% to 37%.

Age tells a more complicated story. The NDP leads with voters 65 and older — 46% to 39% — but trails among the 35-to-49 cohort, where the Conservatives hold a five-point edge. The 18-to-34 group is competitive, with the Conservatives at 42% and the NDP at 37%.

Conservative Leadership: 

The poll asked BC Conservative voters who they would back if the leadership election were held today. The question was put only to those who said they were voting or leaning Conservative.

Caroline Elliott leads at 15%. Peter Milobar is at 9%. Iain Black, Kerry-Lynne Findlay, and Darrell Jones each sit at 7%, with Harman Banghu at 4% and Yuri Fulmer at 3%. Two percent named another candidate.

Forty-seven percent are undecided.

By region, Elliott leads in Metro Vancouver (17%) and across the Rest of BC (13%). Jones does his best work on Vancouver Island, where he takes 12%. Milobar is stronger outside the city, at 12% in the Rest of BC versus 6% in Metro Vancouver.

 

The Budget:

The poll also asked about the provincial budget, released earlier in February, which pairs major new spending on health care and housing with a projected deficit of nearly $11 billion.

69% of respondents said they had seen, read, or heard something about it. 24% had not, while 7% were unsure.

Far more British Columbians disapprove of the budget than support it.  A total of 53% say they oppose the budget, with 35% strongly opposed.

By contrast, one in three respondents (33%) said they support the budget, with 11% strongly supporting it.

“What’s clear is that Premier Eby’s budget didn’t land with the public,” said Angolano. “We see that reflected in the narrowing of the gap in voting intentions and in the approvals for the budget.”

To read the full report with tables, please click here.

 

The analysis in this report is based on results of a survey conducted February 25–27, 2026, among 1,256 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in British Columbia and eligible to vote in provincial elections. The survey used Interactive Voice Recording (IVR) technology, with respondents reached on landlines and cellular phones. The sample was weighted by age, gender, and region using 2021 Census data. The margin of error is +/- 2.8%, at the 95% confidence level. Margins of error are higher in each subsample. Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding.

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